Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MSM +105 SHU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -0.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.6 (-5.4) | 149.6 (+17.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -0.5 (-7.5) | 147.9 (+19.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -1.8 (-8.8) | 149.8 (+17.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -1.1 (-8.1) | 150.0 (+17.0) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SHU 77 – 69 MSM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | MSM 73 – 71 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | SHU 77 – 65 MSM |
| Jan 22, 2022 | MSM 98 – 59 SHU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | MSM 76 – 64 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#338) | -8.6 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#318) | -1.45 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.41 (#324) | -1.98 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#292) | 0.418 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 61.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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