Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MSM -175 SHU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MSM -6.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -5.6 (-3.6) | 147.0 (-3.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -4.7 (-2.7) | 145.5 (-1.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -6.0 (-4.0) | 144.9 (-0.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -5.9 (-3.9) | 145.5 (-1.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SHU 77 – 69 MSM |
| Dec 4, 2025 | SHU 87 – 80 MSM |
| Feb 25, 2022 | SHU 77 – 65 MSM |
| Jan 22, 2022 | MSM 98 – 59 SHU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | MSM 76 – 64 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#211) | -5.9 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#120) | -1.17 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#145) | -1.29 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#111) | 0.432 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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