Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +39 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MSM -2.8 (+36.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -0.8 (+38.2) | 138.5 (+18.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -1.4 (+37.6) | 137.9 (+19.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -1.4 (+37.6) | 138.2 (+18.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -1.6 (+37.4) | 138.8 (+18.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SHU 77 – 69 MSM |
| Dec 4, 2025 | SHU 87 – 80 MSM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | MSM 73 – 71 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | SHU 77 – 65 MSM |
| Jan 31, 2021 | MSM 76 – 64 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#298) | -7.3 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#291) | -1.62 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#297) | -2.16 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#254) | 0.418 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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