Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -1450 ACU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -15.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -13.7 (-6.7) | 138.1 (+2.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -13.7 (-6.7) | 135.0 (+6.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -12.7 (-5.7) | 137.4 (+3.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -13.6 (-6.6) | 137.1 (+3.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UVU 68 – 55 ACU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ACU 85 – 68 UVU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UVU 73 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVU 64 – 53 ACU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#83) | -5.0 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#81) | -0.39 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#83) | -0.46 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#51) | 0.484 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 38.2% |
Game Analysis
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