Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ACU +125 UVU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +13 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -4.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -3.2 (-9.8) | 137.5 (-4.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -2.6 (-10.4) | 136.3 (-3.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -2.7 (-10.3) | 137.4 (-4.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -3.1 (-9.9) | 139.0 (-6.0) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UVU 68 – 55 ACU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ACU 85 – 68 UVU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVU 64 – 53 ACU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 15-1 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-0 |
| Away | 5-10 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#235) | 3.2 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#226) | 0.89 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#201) | 0.72 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#219) | 0.558 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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