Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -550 ACU +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +11 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -11.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.5 (+3.5) | 133.8 (-16.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -7.9 (+3.1) | 133.6 (-16.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -7.9 (+3.1) | 134.9 (-17.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -8.6 (+2.4) | 135.2 (-18.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UVU 68 – 55 ACU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ACU 85 – 68 UVU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UVU 73 – 60 ACU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 10-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#138) | -5.9 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#165) | -0.60 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#168) | -0.59 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#160) | 0.457 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 38.7% |
Game Analysis
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