Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -1650 ACU +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +13 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -16.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -14.9 (-1.9) | 139.9 (-16.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -12.8 (+0.2) | 141.3 (-18.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -14.3 (-1.3) | 142.1 (-19.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -13.8 (-0.8) | 142.0 (-19.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ACU 85 – 68 UVU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UVU 73 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVU 64 – 53 ACU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#88) | -6.7 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#88) | -0.65 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#90) | -0.85 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#59) | 0.480 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 39.6% |
Game Analysis
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