They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Western Athletic Conference · UCCU Center · February 6, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UVU -14.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money UVU -1650 / ACU +950
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVU win
Actual UVU +13 123 Won
Massey UVU -16.5 (-3.5) — —
Massey Totals — 143.8 (-20.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UVU -13.8 (-0.8) 142.0 (-19.0) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UVU -14.9 (-1.9) 139.9 (-16.9) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -12.8 (+0.2) 141.3 (-18.3) 88% ✓
Baseline ML UVU -14.3 (-1.3) 142.1 (-19.1) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 UVU 74 – 67 ACU
Jan 3, 2026 ACU 85 – 68 UVU
Mar 7, 2025 UVU 73 – 60 ACU
Jan 4, 2025 UVU 64 – 53 ACU
Mar 9, 2024 UVU 74 – 67 ACU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVU ACU
Overall 25-9 14-19
Conference 14-4 5-13
Home 15-1 9-5
Away 6-7 3-12
Neutral 4-1 2-2
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 67.9
Avg Pts Against 70.8 73.9
Massey 6.8 (#88) -6.7 (#268)
Bradley-Terry 1.04 (#88) -0.65 (#223)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.29 (#90) -0.85 (#225)
RPI 0.573 (#59) 0.480 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors UVU ACU
FG% 49.8% 42.7%
3PT% 33.8% 32.9%
REB / G 35.2 29.7
OREB / G 11.1 11.2
AST / TO 1.19 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.5% 47.9%
TOV% 20.8% 20.6%
ORB% 34.5% 32.4%
FT Rate 25.1% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 56.7%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 22.8%
DRB% 69.0% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 28.9% 39.6%

Game Analysis

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