Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -138 UVU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -0.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -0.3 (-7.3) | 140.3 (+0.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -2.0 (-9.0) | 137.0 (+4.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -1.3 (-8.3) | 136.7 (+4.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -1.8 (-8.8) | 140.6 (+0.4) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UVU 68 – 55 ACU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ACU 85 – 68 UVU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UVU 73 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVU 64 – 53 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#223) | -0.5 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#184) | 0.02 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#178) | 0.03 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#220) | 0.512 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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