Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -310 UTAH +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -6.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -6.7 (+6.3) | 148.2 (-15.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -6.8 (+6.2) | 147.3 (-14.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -6.3 (+6.7) | 147.5 (-14.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -6.2 (+6.8) | 148.9 (-15.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ASU 71 – 63 UTAH |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTAH 99 – 73 ASU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 57 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ASU 85 – 77 UTAH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ASU 82 – 70 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#77) | 4.6 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#56) | 0.59 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#61) | 0.75 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#75) | 0.498 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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