Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -400 ASU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +26 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -2.5 (+23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -2.9 (+23.1) | 149.7 (+22.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -4.4 (+21.6) | 150.3 (+21.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -3.7 (+22.3) | 147.6 (+24.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -3.4 (+22.6) | 150.0 (+22.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ASU 73 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ASU 71 – 63 UTAH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 57 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ASU 85 – 77 UTAH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ASU 82 – 70 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#66) | 9.6 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#75) | 1.35 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#77) | 1.78 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#152) | 0.551 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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