Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -250 ASU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +33 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -8.8 (+24.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -7.6 (+25.4) | 145.7 (+1.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -6.4 (+26.6) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -7.2 (+25.8) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -6.7 (+26.3) | 144.7 (+2.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ASU 73 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ASU 71 – 63 UTAH |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTAH 99 – 73 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ASU 85 – 77 UTAH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ASU 82 – 70 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#41) | 3.1 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#76) | 0.73 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#75) | 0.92 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#76) | 0.525 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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