Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -1000 ASU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -14.3 (-22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -12.6 (-20.6) | 148.7 (+13.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -11.3 (-19.3) | 149.7 (+12.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -11.4 (-19.4) | 145.8 (+16.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -12.1 (-20.1) | 146.7 (+15.3) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ASU 73 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ASU 71 – 63 UTAH |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTAH 99 – 73 ASU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 57 ASU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ASU 82 – 70 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#29) | 2.3 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#51) | 0.68 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#55) | 0.76 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#50) | 0.527 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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