Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | ASU +210 UTAH -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -9.1 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -6.9 (+18.9) | 146.1 (+5.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -5.3 (+17.3) | 147.0 (+5.0) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -7.3 (+19.3) | 144.5 (+7.5) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -7.7 (+19.7) | 144.2 (+7.8) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ASU 73 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ASU 71 – 63 UTAH |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTAH 99 – 73 ASU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 57 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ASU 85 – 77 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#134) | 15.7 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#79) | 2.88 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#87) | 3.60 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#55) | 0.639 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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