Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -112 ASU -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -0.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.0 (-32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -0.5 (-8.5) | 158.6 (-24.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -0.2 (-8.2) | 158.0 (-24.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -0.6 (-8.6) | 155.3 (-21.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -0.5 (-8.5) | 156.5 (-22.5) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ASU 73 – 60 UTAH |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTAH 99 – 73 ASU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 57 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ASU 85 – 77 UTAH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ASU 82 – 70 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#110) | 7.4 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#104) | 1.51 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#115) | 1.87 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#181) | 0.558 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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