Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -265 EIU +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +27 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -7.6 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -6.0 (+21.0) | 132.9 (-5.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -5.6 (+21.4) | 132.3 (-5.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -5.5 (+21.5) | 126.4 (+0.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -5.8 (+21.2) | 127.5 (-0.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#262) | -10.5 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#249) | -1.66 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#250) | -2.19 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#281) | 0.450 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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