Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -290 EIU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +25 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -9.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -8.4 (+16.6) | 134.6 (-27.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -7.8 (+17.2) | 135.0 (-28.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -7.1 (+17.9) | 132.3 (-25.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -7.2 (+17.8) | 133.2 (-26.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#238) | -10.9 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#224) | -2.13 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#237) | -2.88 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#211) | 0.403 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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