Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -175 EIU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -2.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -1.8 (+9.2) | 138.0 (-13.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.4 (+8.6) | 134.4 (-9.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -1.8 (+9.2) | 136.7 (-11.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -1.7 (+9.3) | 137.3 (-12.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#280) | -8.5 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#282) | -1.53 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#292) | -1.91 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#253) | 0.440 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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