The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · December 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -6.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money EIU +220 / SIUE -270
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual EIU +4 148 Won
Massey SIUE -2.6 (+6.6) — —
Massey Totals — 133.1 (+14.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 19% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 18% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -2.7 (+6.7) 136.2 (+11.8) 34% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -3.4 (+7.4) 135.9 (+12.1) 30% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -2.8 (+6.8) 134.2 (+13.8) 37% ✗
Baseline ML SIUE -2.5 (+6.5) 135.7 (+12.3) 33% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 EIU 77 – 71 SIUE
Feb 28, 2026 SIUE 77 – 50 EIU
Feb 5, 2025 SIUE 66 – 41 EIU
Jan 8, 2025 SIUE 60 – 57 EIU
Mar 7, 2024 SIUE 68 – 57 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU SIUE
Overall 13-20 19-13
Conference 8-12 12-8
Home 9-6 10-5
Away 3-13 8-7
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.6 67.7
Avg Pts Against 72.2 65.9
Massey -10.6 (#314) -3.7 (#227)
Bradley-Terry -2.78 (#338) -0.55 (#225)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.60 (#334) -1.17 (#244)
RPI 0.397 (#326) 0.449 (#264)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU SIUE
FG% 39.5% 42.0%
3PT% 28.8% 30.7%
REB / G 28.7 37.2
OREB / G 8.3 12.0
AST / TO 0.76 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.0% 47.3%
TOV% 20.7% 15.5%
ORB% 24.4% 31.8%
FT Rate 25.0% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.5% 47.0%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 16.4%
DRB% 60.4% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 26.3%

Game Analysis

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