Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +220 SIUE -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -2.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -3.4 (+7.4) | 135.9 (+12.1) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -2.8 (+6.8) | 134.2 (+13.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.5 (+6.5) | 135.7 (+12.3) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.7 (+6.7) | 136.2 (+11.8) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#314) | -3.7 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#338) | -0.55 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.60 (#334) | -1.17 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#326) | 0.449 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 60.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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