Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -198 EIU +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -5.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -5.6 (-11.6) | 128.9 (+19.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -4.8 (-10.8) | 126.9 (+21.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -4.8 (-10.8) | 123.5 (+24.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -5.3 (-11.3) | 125.9 (+22.1) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#249) | -11.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#244) | -1.71 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#247) | -2.23 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#277) | 0.446 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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