Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +100 SIUE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +3 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -2.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -3.7 (+0.7) | 134.6 (-17.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -2.0 (-1.0) | 132.6 (-15.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.3 (-0.7) | 133.7 (-16.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.3 (-0.7) | 135.1 (-18.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#323) | -3.8 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#328) | -0.73 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#338) | -1.24 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#330) | 0.459 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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