Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +130 NCCU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +14 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -0.6 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -0.3 (-13.7) | 132.6 (+1.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -0.6 (-13.4) | 132.1 (+1.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -0.9 (-13.1) | 132.6 (+1.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -0.3 (-13.7) | 131.6 (+2.4) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NCCU 75 – 72 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -19.2 (#360) | -15.6 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#359) | -2.34 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.17 (#360) | -3.15 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#363) | 0.424 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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