Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -270 DSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -3.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -1.9 (+1.1) | 150.9 (-3.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -2.6 (+0.4) | 146.5 (+0.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -1.8 (+1.2) | 148.5 (-1.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -1.8 (+1.2) | 150.2 (-3.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#304) | -8.2 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#321) | -0.92 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#333) | -1.68 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#322) | 0.445 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 60.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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