Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -198 DSU +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +6 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -3.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -3.0 (+3.0) | 131.8 (-19.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -2.1 (+3.9) | 130.3 (-18.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -3.1 (+2.9) | 131.4 (-19.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -2.0 (+4.0) | 130.6 (-18.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NCCU 75 – 72 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 2-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#350) | -19.0 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#342) | -3.14 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#346) | -4.11 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#281) | 0.386 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 60.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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