Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NCCU -395 DSU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -7.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -4.6 (+4.4) | 132.3 (+2.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -4.6 (+4.4) | 132.0 (+3.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -6.0 (+3.0) | 132.5 (+2.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -5.6 (+3.4) | 133.0 (+2.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NCCU 75 – 72 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 2-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#346) | -18.1 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#340) | -3.23 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#347) | -4.03 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#299) | 0.361 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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