Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | DSU -165 NCCU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +2 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | DSU -4.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -3.6 (-1.6) | 154.4 (+15.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -2.9 (-0.9) | 151.1 (+18.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -3.0 (-1.0) | 151.3 (+18.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -3.0 (-1.0) | 153.6 (+16.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NCCU 75 – 72 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#289) | -8.9 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#287) | -1.78 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#304) | -2.58 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#303) | 0.427 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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