Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | JXST +145 LIB -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +3 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -3.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -2.3 (-0.7) | 141.0 (+18.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -2.3 (-0.7) | 140.4 (+18.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -2.6 (-0.4) | 139.9 (+19.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -3.0 (-0.0) | 140.7 (+18.3) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIB 78 – 69 JXST |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LIB 79 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIB 59 – 55 JXST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JXST 72 – 61 LIB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | JXST 73 – 62 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#205) | 3.6 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#229) | 1.45 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#219) | 1.43 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#233) | 0.588 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 5.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 60.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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