Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | JXST +220 LIB -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -2.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -2.9 (+13.9) | 129.9 (+5.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -2.2 (+13.2) | 131.7 (+3.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -2.3 (+13.3) | 132.8 (+2.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -2.1 (+13.1) | 131.6 (+3.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIB 81 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIB 78 – 69 JXST |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LIB 79 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIB 59 – 55 JXST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JXST 72 – 61 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#182) | 4.8 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#254) | 0.78 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#207) | 1.17 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#253) | 0.531 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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