Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | JXST +145 LIB -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -2.9 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -1.3 (+12.3) | 136.0 (-3.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -1.8 (+12.8) | 134.3 (-1.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -0.9 (+11.9) | 135.2 (-2.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -1.8 (+12.8) | 135.0 (-2.0) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIB 81 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIB 78 – 69 JXST |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LIB 79 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIB 59 – 55 JXST |
| Jan 27, 2024 | JXST 73 – 62 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#137) | 7.8 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#107) | 1.43 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#113) | 2.12 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#82) | 0.551 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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