Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -320 JXST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +4 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -8.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -8.4 (-4.4) | 131.8 (-17.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -7.2 (-3.2) | 132.8 (-18.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -8.0 (-4.0) | 129.4 (-15.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -8.3 (-4.3) | 130.3 (-16.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIB 81 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIB 78 – 69 JXST |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LIB 79 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JXST 72 – 61 LIB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | JXST 73 – 62 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-2 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#76) | 2.4 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#61) | 0.99 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#59) | 1.04 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#61) | 0.564 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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