Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -250 JXST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -5.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -6.1 (+5.9) | 136.1 (+9.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -6.5 (+5.5) | 135.5 (+10.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -6.0 (+6.0) | 137.3 (+8.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.2 (+5.8) | 137.0 (+9.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIB 81 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIB 78 – 69 JXST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIB 59 – 55 JXST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JXST 72 – 61 LIB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | JXST 73 – 62 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-2 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#69) | 2.3 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#57) | 0.92 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#58) | 0.97 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#56) | 0.554 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.