Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LT -142 FIU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -1.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -2.0 (-10.0) | 142.9 (+17.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -1.7 (-9.7) | 140.3 (+19.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -1.1 (-9.1) | 141.9 (+18.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -0.9 (-8.9) | 142.7 (+17.3) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FIU 77 – 64 LT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LT 82 – 71 FIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LT 81 – 64 FIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LT 75 – 68 FIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | LT 93 – 53 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#233) | -2.3 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#210) | -0.66 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#223) | -0.65 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#221) | 0.478 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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