Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LT -400 FIU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LT -7.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -5.3 (+11.7) | 137.8 (+7.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -7.7 (+9.3) | 137.1 (+7.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -5.1 (+11.9) | 137.2 (+7.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -5.2 (+11.8) | 138.1 (+6.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FIU 84 – 76 LT |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FIU 77 – 64 LT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LT 82 – 71 FIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LT 75 – 68 FIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | LT 93 – 53 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#153) | -2.3 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#117) | -1.11 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#129) | -1.11 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#97) | 0.420 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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