Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +240 LT -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +40 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -10.2 (-29.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -9.2 (-30.8) | 142.5 (+3.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -7.7 (-32.3) | 141.7 (+4.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -10.6 (-29.4) | 141.5 (+4.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -9.2 (-30.8) | 142.7 (+3.3) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FIU 84 – 76 LT |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FIU 77 – 64 LT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LT 82 – 71 FIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LT 81 – 64 FIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LT 75 – 68 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-4 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#283) | 7.3 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#291) | 1.19 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#285) | 1.83 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#309) | 0.577 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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