Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LT -1400 FIU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LT -18.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -16.7 (-9.7) | 138.1 (+4.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -14.7 (-7.7) | 139.9 (+3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -15.8 (-8.8) | 138.2 (+4.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -17.0 (-10.0) | 138.1 (+4.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FIU 84 – 76 LT |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FIU 77 – 64 LT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LT 82 – 71 FIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LT 81 – 64 FIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | LT 93 – 53 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 5-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#78) | -7.9 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#113) | -1.32 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#96) | -1.37 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#70) | 0.424 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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