Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -166 LT +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -5.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -3.5 (+9.5) | 144.0 (-3.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -2.8 (+10.2) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -3.9 (+9.1) | 141.1 (-0.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -3.5 (+9.5) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FIU 84 – 76 LT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LT 82 – 71 FIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LT 81 – 64 FIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LT 75 – 68 FIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | LT 93 – 53 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#203) | -4.3 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#246) | -0.32 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#229) | -0.70 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#237) | 0.485 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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