Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +145 LT -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -3.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -3.5 (-7.5) | 137.9 (+15.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -3.5 (-7.5) | 139.2 (+13.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -3.4 (-7.6) | 138.4 (+14.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -3.6 (-7.4) | 139.0 (+14.0) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FIU 84 – 76 LT |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FIU 77 – 64 LT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LT 81 – 64 FIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LT 75 – 68 FIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | LT 93 – 53 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#243) | 1.9 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#288) | 0.95 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#274) | 1.07 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#323) | 0.560 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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