Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MONM -175 ELON +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -3.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -3.5 (+12.5) | 151.3 (-21.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -2.6 (+13.4) | 149.1 (-19.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -3.4 (+12.6) | 148.8 (-18.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -3.4 (+12.6) | 150.2 (-20.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONM 79 – 76 ELON |
| Jan 24, 2025 | ELON 83 – 71 MONM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MONM 85 – 70 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2023 | ELON 75 – 68 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#197) | -2.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#202) | -0.49 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#211) | -0.83 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#200) | 0.492 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.