Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | ELON +115 MONM -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +15 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -3.3 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -2.2 (-12.8) | 146.8 (+8.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -2.1 (-12.9) | 145.3 (+9.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -2.2 (-12.8) | 145.8 (+9.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -2.5 (-12.5) | 146.5 (+8.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONM 73 – 57 ELON |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONM 79 – 76 ELON |
| Jan 24, 2025 | ELON 83 – 71 MONM |
| Feb 18, 2023 | ELON 75 – 68 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#310) | -2.1 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#286) | 0.01 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#299) | -0.03 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#281) | 0.506 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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