Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -800 MONM +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -13.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -9.3 (+2.7) | 141.0 (+13.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -10.5 (+1.5) | 137.9 (+16.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -10.8 (+1.2) | 136.8 (+17.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -10.6 (+1.4) | 137.4 (+16.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONM 73 – 57 ELON |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONM 79 – 76 ELON |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MONM 85 – 70 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2023 | ELON 75 – 68 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#118) | -7.5 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#148) | -1.60 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#132) | -1.94 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#143) | 0.433 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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