Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -125 ELON +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -2.6 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -1.3 (+4.3) | 141.5 (+13.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -1.8 (+4.8) | 141.7 (+13.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -2.3 (+5.3) | 143.9 (+11.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -1.8 (+4.8) | 142.4 (+12.6) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONM 73 – 57 ELON |
| Jan 24, 2025 | ELON 83 – 71 MONM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MONM 85 – 70 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2023 | ELON 75 – 68 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#268) | -0.4 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#248) | -0.17 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#256) | -0.02 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#235) | 0.504 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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