Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +105 UCLA -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -2.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -1.3 (+6.3) | 135.4 (+15.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -1.9 (+6.9) | 132.8 (+18.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -0.8 (+5.8) | 133.1 (+17.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -1.0 (+6.0) | 134.0 (+17.0) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | MINN 64 – 61 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 17-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#74) | 13.7 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#90) | 2.47 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#86) | 2.95 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#165) | 0.583 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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