Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -800 MINN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -14.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -11.7 (-14.7) | 131.1 (-6.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -11.3 (-14.3) | 133.7 (-8.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -12.2 (-15.2) | 133.7 (-8.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -12.9 (-15.9) | 134.3 (-9.3) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | MINN 78 – 73 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#22) | 5.7 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#21) | 1.32 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#26) | 1.92 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#30) | 0.540 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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