Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NHVN +114 LEM -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NHVN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NHVN +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | LEM -0.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -0.1 (+7.1) | 130.1 (-5.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -0.9 (+7.9) | 129.8 (-4.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -0.6 (+7.6) | 130.5 (-5.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -0.8 (+7.8) | 131.9 (-6.9) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | LEM 73 – 47 NHVN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NHVN | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#324) | -7.6 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#328) | -1.43 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#328) | -1.96 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#288) | 0.444 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NHVN | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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