Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LEM -230 NHVN +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +26 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | LEM -5.6 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -2.0 (+24.0) | 131.5 (-11.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -3.2 (+22.8) | 131.9 (-11.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -3.4 (+22.6) | 133.5 (-13.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -3.5 (+22.5) | 132.1 (-12.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NHVN 66 – 59 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#288) | -10.1 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#313) | -1.60 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#319) | -2.12 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#309) | 0.466 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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