Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +370 MRMK -485 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -10.4 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -8.8 (+13.8) | 131.3 (-2.3) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -10.2 (+15.2) | 124.5 (+4.5) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -8.9 (+13.9) | 127.8 (+1.2) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -8.6 (+13.6) | 128.4 (+0.6) | 16% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | MRMK 69 – 51 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 52 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 17-3 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-0 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#347) | -1.4 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#332) | 0.47 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#331) | 0.40 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#329) | 0.556 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 59.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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