Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -1600 CAN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +18 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -17.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -12.5 (+5.5) | 133.2 (-13.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -13.1 (+4.9) | 131.7 (-11.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -13.0 (+5.0) | 131.8 (-11.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -12.4 (+5.6) | 131.0 (-11.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CAN 67 – 62 MRMK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 52 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 8-5 | 1-12 |
| Away | 9-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#195) | -15.9 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#168) | -2.95 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#185) | -3.31 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#123) | 0.398 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 28.1 | 25.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 18.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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