Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -115 PRST -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -1.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -1.3 (+4.7) | 140.2 (+1.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -0.9 (+5.1) | 143.0 (-1.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -0.1 (+5.9) | 143.5 (-1.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -0.6 (+5.4) | 141.3 (+0.7) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MONT 87 – 81 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#183) | 0.9 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#215) | 0.27 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#204) | 0.21 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#210) | 0.515 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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