Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -165 MONT +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -2.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -2.2 (+0.8) | 140.8 (+14.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -1.6 (+1.4) | 140.3 (+14.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -2.0 (+1.0) | 143.7 (+11.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -2.3 (+0.7) | 141.8 (+13.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MONT 87 – 81 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#189) | -1.1 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#215) | 0.92 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#192) | 0.67 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#234) | 0.571 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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