Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -218 MONT +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +4 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -4.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -3.3 (-7.3) | 140.6 (-16.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -3.3 (-7.3) | 142.9 (-18.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.7 (-8.7) | 143.6 (-19.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -3.6 (-7.6) | 141.4 (-17.4) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MONT 87 – 81 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#141) | 0.9 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#110) | -0.00 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#115) | 0.15 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#133) | 0.504 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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