Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PRST -166 MONT +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -2.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -2.2 (-5.2) | 140.0 (+7.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -1.9 (-4.9) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -2.9 (-5.9) | 143.3 (+3.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -2.5 (-5.5) | 142.4 (+4.6) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MONT 87 – 81 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#143) | -1.4 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#140) | -0.28 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#146) | -0.29 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#138) | 0.498 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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